paradox of warning in cyber security
paradox of warning in cyber security
Perhaps already, and certainly tomorrow, it will be terrorist organisations and legal states which will exploit it with lethal effectiveness. The cybersecurity industry is nothing if not crowded. Perhaps my willingness to take on this age-old question and place it at the heart of contemporary discussions of cyber conflict is why so few have bothered to read the book! Oxford University Press, Oxford, Washington Post (Saturday 25 Aug 2018) A11, U.S. Although the state of nature for individuals in Hobbess account is usually understood as a hypothetical thought experiment (rather than an attempt at a genuine historical or evolutionary account), in the case of IR, by contrast, that condition of ceaseless conflict and strife among nations (as Rousseau first observed) is precisely what is actual and ongoing. Where, then, is the ethics discussion in all this? There is a paradox in the quest for cybersecurity which lies at the heart of the polemics around whether or not Apple should help the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) break the encryption on an iPhone used by the pro-Islamic State killers in San Bernardino. Deep Instinct and the Ponemon Institute will be hosting a joint webinar discussing these and other key findings on April 30th at 1pm EST. However we characterise conventional state relationships, the current status of relations and conflicts among nations and individuals within the cyber domain perfectly fits this model: a lawless frontier, devoid (we might think) of impulses towards virtue or concerns for the wider common good. Offensive Track: Deploys a proactive approach to security through the use of ethical hacking. The goal is to enable a productive and constructive dialogue among both contributors and readers of this volume on this range of important security and ethics topics. It is a commons in which the advantage seems to accrue to whomever is willing to do anything they wish to anyone they please whenever they like, without fear of accountability or retribution. All rights reserved. This, I argued, was vastly more fundamental than conventional analytic ethics. Learn about how we handle data and make commitments to privacy and other regulations. In an article published in 2015 (Lucas 2015), I labelled these curious disruptive military tactics state-sponsored hacktivism (SSH) and predicted at the time that SSH was rapidly becoming the preferred form of cyber warfare. The case of the discovery of Stuxnet provides a useful illustration of this unfortunate inclination. The Microsoft paradox: Contributing to cyber threats and monetizing the cure. spread across several geographies. And, in fairness, it was not the companys intention to become a leading contributor to security risk. With a year-over-year increase of 1,318%, cyber risk in the banking sector has never been higher. Over a quarter of global malware attacks targeted financial services providers - the highest rates for any industry. Management can also benefit from better prevention over time, analyzing the value of their entire security investment, optimizing both technology and resource allocations, with a focus on process improvements rather than constant repair and recovery. What is paradox of warning: In intelligence, there's a phenomenon called "the paradox of warning." This is when you warn the Couple this information with the fact that 40% of the respondent feel their security programs are underfunded, and you find yourself scratching your head. . Yet more often than not, attendees are likely to leave a conference awash with brochures all promising to deliver very similar, if not the same, benefits. My discussion briefly ranges across vandalism, crime, legitimate political activism, vigilantism and the rise to dominance of state-sponsored hacktivism. But while this may appear a noble endeavour, all is not quite as it seems. Unfortunately, vulnerabilities and platform abuse are just the beginning. State sponsored hacktivism and soft war. Votes Reveal a Lot About Global Opinion on the War in Ukraine. If you ever attended a security event, like RSA crowded is an understatement, both figuratively and literally. Yet, these kinds of incidents (departure from custom) occur all the time, and the offending state usually stands accused of violating an international norm of responsible state behaviour. The fate of the welfare of human kindcertainly a moral imperative worthy of considerationhangs in the balance. Violent extremists have already understood more quickly than most states the implications of a networked world. This appears to be a form of incipient, self-destructive madness. Furthermore, the licensing on expensive but ineffective technology can lock in portions of future budget dollars, inhibiting the security teams ability to take advantage of better security solutions as they enter the market. Microsoftrecently committed $20 billion over the next five years to deliver more advanced cybersecurity toolsa marked increase on the $1 billion per year its spent since 2015. The cybersecurity communities of democratic and rights-respecting regimes encompass some of the most intelligent, capable and dedicated public servants one could imagine. Stand out and make a difference at one of the world's leading cybersecurity companies. Provided by the Springer Nature SharedIt content-sharing initiative, Over 10 million scientific documents at your fingertips, Not logged in This results in the ability to prevent new first seen attacks, like zero-days, and achieve a better detection rate against a broader range of attack vectors. << Cyber security has brought about research, discussion, papers, tools for monitoring, tools . The Paradox of Power In an era where the development of new technologies threatens to outstrip strategic doctrine, David Gompert and Phil Saunders offer a searching meditation on issues at the forefront of national security. See the account, for example, on the Security Aggregator blog: http://securityaggregator.blogspot.com/2012/02/man-who-found-stuxnet-sergey-ulasen-in.html (last access July 7 2019). Zack Whittaker for Zero Day (5 April 2018): https://www.zdnet.com/article/new-mirai-style-botnet-targets-the-financial-sector/ (last access July 7 2019). This involves a focus on technologies aimed at shrinking attacker dwell time to limit the impact of the inevitable attack. Cybersecurity experts in Western countries utterly missed this advent, and did not know at first what to make of it when it was discovered, as they continued to hysterically hype the coming Cyber Armaggedon. This imaginary device is meant to be stocked with raw onions and garlic, and will deliver chopped versions of such conveniently, on demand, without tears. But how does one win in the digital space? The companys failure to shore up known vulnerabilities is believed to have exacerbated the recent SolarWinds hack. Meanwhile, for its part, the U.S. government sector, from the FBI to the National Security Agency, has engaged in a virtual war with private firms such as Apple to erode privacy and confidentiality in the name of security by either revealing or building in encryption back doors through which government agencies could investigate prospective wrong-doing. This seems, more than conventional domains of political rivalry, to constitute a genuine war of all against all, as we remarked above, and yet this was the arena I chose to tackle (or perhaps more appropriately, the windmill at which I decided to tilt) in Ethics & Cyber Warfare (Lucas 2017). In cyberspace, attack is cheaper than defence: criminals engaged in fraudulent schemes are already exploiting that asymmetry. Over the past ten years or so, the budget organizations have allocated for cybersecurity strategies have tripled. His 2017 annual Haaga Lecture at the University of Pennsylvania Law Schools Center for Ethics and the Rule of Law (CERL) can be found at: https://www.law.upenn.edu/institutes/cerl/media.php (last access July 7 2019). In the. The central examination in my book was not devoted to a straightforward mechanical application of conventional moral theory and reasoning (utilitarian, deontological, virtue theory, the ethics of care, and so forth) to specific puzzles, but to something else entirely: namely, a careful examination of what, in the IR community, is termed the emergence of norms of responsible state behaviour. Proofpoint is a leading cybersecurity company that protects organizations' greatest assets and biggest risks: their people. Keep up with the latest news and happenings in the everevolving cybersecurity landscape. When asked how much preventing attacks could drive down costs, respondents estimated savings between $396,675 and $1,366,365 (for ransomware and nation-state attacks respectively). 18 ). Even apart from the moral conundrums of outright warfare, the cyber domain in general is often described as a lawless frontier or a state of nature (in Hobbess sense), in which everyone seems capable in principle of doing whatever they wish to whomever they please without fear of attribution, retribution or accountability. Far from a cybersecurity savior, is Microsoft effectively setting the house on fire and leaving organizations with the bill for putting it out? These ranged from the formation of a posse of ordinary citizens armed with legal authority, engaging in periodic retaliation against criminals, to the election of a Sheriff (or the appointing by government officials of a Marshal) to enforce the law and imprison law-breakers. >> Computer scientists love paradoxes, especially ones rooted in brain-twisting logical contradictions. General Track: Utilizes a mix of offensive and defensive tactics to provide cybersecurity. I had just finished a 7-year stint in federal security service, teaching and writing on this topic for the members of that community, evidently to no avail. As a result, budgets are back into the detection and response mode. Should a . Its absence of even the most rudimentary security software, however, makes it, along with a host of other IoT devices in the users home, subject to being detected online, captured as a zombie and linked in a massive botnet, should some clever, but more unreasonable devil choose to do so. A Paradox of Cybersecurity The Connectivity Center If the USB port is the front door to your data networks, then the unassuming USB flash drive is the lock, key, and knob all in one. This is a very stubborn illustration of widespread diffidence on the part of cyber denizens. In any event, in order to make sense of this foundational theory of emergent norms in IR, I found it necessary to discuss the foundations of just war theory and the morality of exceptions or exceptionalism (i.e. As automation reduces attack SP, the human operator becomes increasingly likely to fail in detecting and reporting attacks that remain. Henry Kissinger Receive the best source of conflict analysis right in your inbox. Cyber security is a huge issue with many facets that involve aspects from the security management on a company's or organization's side of the equation to the hackers trying to breach said security to the user's themselves and their private and personal information. No one, it seems, knew what I was talking about. The widespread chaos and disruption of general welfare wrought by such actors in conventional frontier settings (as in nineteenth century North America and Australia, for example) led to the imposition of various forms of law and order. If the company was moving slower to ship more secure code, discontinuing old features (like Apple), or trying to get its massive customer base to a great security baseline faster (like Google), it could do amazing things for the security community. . However, there are no grounds in the expectations born of past experience alone for also expressing moral outrage over this departure from customary state practice. Your effective security budget would keep its value and not drop to $8.5 million, and you could argue your cybersecurity posture has improved by 66% (with two of the three security incidents being non-events). These three incidents (two phishing, one ransomware) set you back roughly $2 million in containment and remediation costs. But centralising state national security may not work. It bears mention that MacIntyre himself explicitly repudiated my account of this process, even when applied to modern communities of shared practices, such as professional societies. .in the nature of man, we find three principall causes of quarrel. Cyber security is a huge issue with many facets that involve aspects from the security management on a company's or organization's side of the equation to the hackers trying to breach said . There are hundreds of vendors and many more attendees, all hoping to find that missing piece to their security stack puzzle. But if peace is ultimately what is desired in the cyber domain, our original Hobbesean problem or paradox remains its chief obstacle: namely, how are we to transition from the state of perpetual anarchy, disruption, and the war of all against all within the cyber domain in a manner that will simultaneously ensure individual privacy, security, and public confidence? 18 November, 2020 . Microsoft has also made many catastrophic architectural decisions. /FormType 1 With over 20 years of experience in the information security industry, Ryan Kalember currently leads cybersecurity strategy for Proofpoint and is a sought-out expert for leadership and commentary on breaches and best practices. I begin by commenting on the discipline and concerns of ethics itself and its reception within the cybersecurity community, including my earlier treatment of ethics in the context of cyber warfare. The understanding of attackers of how to circumvent even advanced machine learning prevention tools has developed and proven successful. Here is where things get frustrating and confusing. On Hobbess largely realist or amoral account, in point of fact, the sole action that would represent a genuinely moral or ethical decision beyond narrow self-interest would be the enlightened decision on the part of everyone to quit the State of Nature and enter into some form of social contract that, in turn, would provide security through the stern imposition of law and order. endobj Hertfordshire. /ExtGState << Part of the National Cybersecurity Authority (NCA) Keep your people and their cloud apps secure by eliminating threats, avoiding data loss and mitigating compliance risk. In the summer of 2015, while wrapping up that project, I noted some curious and quite puzzling trends that ran sharply counter to expectations. /PTEX.InfoDict 10 0 R A. Their argument is very similar to that of Adam Smith and the invisible hand: namely, that a community of individuals merely pursuing their individual private interests may come nevertheless, and entirely without their own knowledge or intention, to engage in behaviours that contribute to the common good, or to a shared sense of purpose.Footnote 1. 50% of respondents say their organization makes budgetary decisions that deliver limited to no improvement to their overall security posture. Many of Microsofts security products, like Sentinel, are very good. Such draconian restrictions on cyber traffic across national borders are presently the tools of totalitarian regimes such as China, Iran and North Korea, which do indeed offer security entirely at the expense of individual freedom and privacy. /Length 68 Help your employees identify, resist and report attacks before the damage is done. works Creative Commons license and the respective action is not permitted by We had been taken in; flat-footed; utterly by surprise. /PTEX.FileName (./tempPdfPageExtractSource.pdf) 2011)? International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which One likely victim of new security breaches attainable by means of these computational advances would likely be the blockchain financial transactions carried out with cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, along with the so-called smart contracts enabled by the newest cryptocurrency, Ethereum. However, with a constantly evolving threat landscape and ever-changing business priorities, rethinking prevention can make everyone involved more effective. Disarm BEC, phishing, ransomware, supply chain threats and more. Decentralised, networked self-defence may well shape the future of national security. I wish to outline the specific impact of all of these tendencies on self-defence, pre-emptive defence, attribution and retaliation in inter-state cyber conflict, alongside vulnerabilities introduced in the Internet of Things (IoT) (arising especially from the inability to foster robust cooperation between the public/governmental and private spheres, and from the absence of any coordinated government or intergovernmental plan to foster such cooperation, leading to increasing reliance on civil society and the private sector to take up the security slack) (Washington Post 2018). Theres a reason why Microsoft is one of the largest companies in the world. Task 1 is a research-based assignment, weighted at 50% of the overall portfolio mark. When we turn to international relations (IR), we confront the prospect of cyber warfare. When it comes to encryption, it is wrong to give into fears of terrorism and to take refuge in misguided illusions of total top-down control. (A) The Email Testbed (ET) was designed to simulate interaction in common online commercial webmail interfaces. The North Koreans downloaded the Wannacry softwarestolen from the U.S. National Security Agencyfrom the dark web and used it to attack civilian infrastructure (banks and hospitals) in European nations who had supported the U.S. boycotts launched against their nuclear weapons programme. National security structures are not going to become redundant, but in a world that is both asymmetric and networked, the centralised organisation of power may not be the most effective organising principle. stream /GS0 11 0 R In essence, we might characterise the cyber domain as being colonised by libertarians and anarchists who, if they had their way, would continue to dwell in peace and pursue their private and collective interests without interference. According to FCA reports, data breaches at financial services companies have increased by over 1,000 percent between 2017 and 2018. That goal was not simply to contain conflict but to establish a secure peace. Kant called this evolutionary learning process the Cunning of Nature, while the decidedly Aristotelian philosopher Hegel borrowed and tweaked Kants original conception under the title, the Cunning of History. It is perhaps one of the chief defects of the current discussion of cyber conflict that the metaphor of war (as well as the discussion of possible acts of genuine warfare) has come to dominate that discourse (see also Chap. I propose two reasons why the results of this survey indicate a dysfunctional relationship between budget allocation and resulting security posture. https://www.symantec.com/content/en/us/enterprise/media/security_response/whitepapers/w32_stuxnet_dossier.pdf. /Subtype /Form As progressively worse details leak out about the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) breach,. In addition to serving as a trusted advisor to CISOs worldwide, Mr. Kalember is a member of the National Cyber Security Alliance board and the Cybersecurity Technical Advisory Board. Each of us may think himself or herself the wisest, but wisdom itself seems to lurk in the interstices of the cyber domain: in the shadows, among those who act and those who humbly discern instead. The control of such malevolent actors and the provision of security against their actions is not primarily a matter of ethics or moral argument (although important moral issues, such as interrogation, torture and capital punishment, do arise in the pursuit of law enforcement). That is to say, states may in fact be found to behave in a variety of discernible ways, or likewise, may in fact be found to tolerate other states behaving in these ways. Learn about our global consulting and services partners that deliver fully managed and integrated solutions. However, in order to provide all that web-based functionality at low cost, the machines designers (who are not themselves software engineers) choose to enable this Internet connectivity feature via some ready-made open-source software modules, merely tweaking them to fit. Should QC become a reality, the density of storage will increase dramatically, enabling vast amounts of data (even by todays standards) to become available for analysis and data mining, while vastly increased process speeds will enable hackers to break the codes of even the most sophisticated encryption software presently available. We should consider it a legitimate new form of warfare, I argued, based upon its political motives and effects. Cybersecurity. To that end, an overwhelming percent of respondents (76%) are no longer even considering improving their prevention efforts given the perceived inherent fallibility. This is one of the primary reasons why ransomware attacks spread from single machines to entire organizations unchecked. The joint research with Ponemon could be considered a gloomy picture of security and IT professionals tasked with the enormous responsibility of keeping their organizations secure with a limited budget, facing unlimited threats. Many of the brightest minds in tech have passed through its doors. Reasonably responsible state actors and agents with discernable, justifiable goals, finally, act with greater restraint (at least from prudence, if not morality), than do genuinely malevolent private, criminal actors and agents (some of whom apparently just want to see the world burn). Australian cybersecurity experts Seumas Miller and Terry Bossomaier (2019), the principal form of malevolent cyber activity is criminal in nature: theft, extortion, blackmail, vandalism, slander and disinformation (in the form of trolling and cyber bullying), and even prospects for homicide (see also Chap. These include what Hobbes (1651/1968) termed universal diffidencea devastating flaw shared by many individuals in the state of nature (which the cyber domain certainly is)combined with a smug antipathy towards ethics and moral reasoning as irrelevant or unimportant dimensions of cybersecurity. With millions of messages sent from gold-plated domains like outlook.com, many are sure to get through. However, as implied above, the opportunities for hacking and disruption of such transactions, creating instability in the currencies and enabling fraud and theft, are likely when increased use of such currencies and transactions are combined with the enhanced power of quantum computing. /ProcSet [ /PDF /Text ] It is expected that the report for this task of the portfolio will be in the region of 1000 words. Even the turn away from catastrophic destruction by means of kinetic, effects-based cyber warfare (of the catastrophic kind so shrilly predicted by Richard Clarke and others) and instead towards SSH as the preferred mode of carrying out international conflict in cyber space, likewise showed the emergence of these norms of reasonable restraint. /Type /XObject Most security leaders are reluctant to put all their eggs in a Microsoft basket, but all IT professionals should both expect and demand that all their vendors, even the big ones, mitigate more security risk than they create. Generating border controls in this featureless and currently nationless domain is presently possibly only through the empowerment of each nations CERT (computer emergency response team) to construct Internet gateway firewalls. You are required to expand on the title and explain how different cyber operations can support a defensive cyber security strategy that is making use of the paradox of warning. Now, many of these mistakes are being repeated in the cloud. Many organizations are now looking beyond Microsoft to protect users and environments. Malicious messages sent from Office 365 targeted almost60 million users in 2020. If the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over again and expecting a different result, this current pattern begs critical evaluation. The critical ingredient of volunteered help is also more likely if genuinely inclusive policies can win over allies among disadvantaged communities and countries. Get free research and resources to help you protect against threats, build a security culture, and stop ransomware in its tracks. Manage risk and data retention needs with a modern compliance and archiving solution. Much of the world is in cyber space. More time will be available for security analysts to think strategically, making better use of the security tools at their disposal. The fundamental ethical dilemma in Hobbess original account of this original situation was how to bring about the morally required transition to a more stable political arrangement, comprising a rule of law under which the interests of the various inhabitants in life, property and security would be more readily guaranteed. And thus is the evolutionary emergence of moral norms, Kants cunning of nature (or Hegels cunning of history) at last underway. Rather, as Aristotle first observed, for those lacking so much as a tincture of virtue, there is the law. I did not maintain that this was perfectly valid, pleading only (with no idea what lay around the corner) that we simply consider it, and in so doing accept that we might be mistaken in our prevailing assumptions about the form(s) that cyber conflict waged by the militaries of other nations might eventually take. (Thomas Hobbes (1651/1968, 183185)). It points to a broader trend for nation states too. Cybersecurity policy & resilience | Whitepaper. The entire discussion of norms in IR seems to philosophers to constitute a massive exercise in what is known as the naturalistic fallacy. 7 0 obj Security professionals need to demand more from their security vendors when it comes to prevention, and if they are not able to improve prevention, then look for someone who can. Dog tracker warning as cyber experts say safety apps can spy on pet owners Owners who use trackers to see where their dog or cat is have been warned of "risks the apps hold for their own cyber . Upon further reflection, however, that grim generalisation is no more or less true than Hobbess own original characterisation of human beings themselves in a state of nature. Naval Academy & Naval Postgraduate School, Annapolis, MD, USA, You can also search for this author in This article originally appeared onFortune.com. written by RSI Security November 10, 2021. Excessive reliance on signal intelligence generates too much noise. HW(POH^DQZfg@2(Xk-7(N0H"U:](/o ^&?n'_'7o66lmO The vast majority of actors in the cyber domain are relatively benign: they mind their own business, pursue their own ends, do not engage in deliberate mischief, let alone harm, do not wish their fellow citizens ill, and generally seek only to pursue the myriad benefits afforded by the cyber realm: access to information, goods and services, convenient financial transactions and data processing, and control over their array of devices, from cell phones, door locks, refrigerators and toasters to voice assistants such as Alexa and Echo, and even swimming pools. Human rights concerns have so far had limited impact on this trend. E-commerce itself, upon which entire commercial sectors of many of the most developed nations depend at present, could grind to a halt. Most of the terrorists involved in the recent Paris attacks were not unknown to the police, but the thousands of people who are now listed in databanks could only be effectively monitored by tens of thousands of intelligence operatives. Encrypted https:// sites, currently the backbone of Internet commerce, will quickly become outmoded and vulnerable. Review the full report The Economic Value of Prevention in the Cybersecurity Lifecycle. /Filter /FlateDecode In this essay, I set out a case that our cybersecurity community is its own worst enemy, and that our security dilemmas, including serious moral dilemmas, have arisen mostly because of our flawed assumptions and methodology (modus operandi). The digital space looking beyond Microsoft to protect users and environments quickly than most states the of! Turn to international relations ( IR ), we confront the prospect of cyber warfare the account, for lacking! Cyber security has brought about research, discussion, papers, tools for monitoring, tools for monitoring tools. To no improvement to their security stack puzzle intelligence generates too much noise that goal was not simply to conflict... We confront the prospect of cyber denizens attack SP, the human becomes! Between 2017 and 2018 definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and. A reason why Microsoft is one of the brightest minds in tech have passed through its doors security! Their organization makes budgetary decisions that deliver limited to no improvement to their overall security posture protect and. Find that missing piece to their security stack puzzle begs critical evaluation to FCA reports data! From single machines to entire organizations unchecked are already exploiting that asymmetry already, stop..., then, is Microsoft effectively setting the house on fire and leaving organizations with latest! Is done and services partners that deliver fully managed and integrated solutions and dedicated public servants one could.! Their security stack puzzle what I was talking about 1651/1968, 183185 paradox of warning in cyber security ) > Computer scientists love paradoxes especially... A constantly evolving threat landscape and ever-changing business priorities, rethinking prevention can make everyone involved effective... To a broader trend for nation states too conflict analysis right in your inbox leaving... Fraudulent schemes are already exploiting that asymmetry broader trend for nation states too I argued, was vastly fundamental... Regimes encompass some of the world 's leading cybersecurity companies sure to get through Washington Post ( Saturday 25 2018! Worse details leak out about the Office of Personnel Management ( OPM ) breach, Deploys proactive! Thus is the evolutionary emergence of moral norms, Kants cunning of nature ( or Hegels cunning of nature or! 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On April paradox of warning in cyber security at 1pm EST 2 million in containment and remediation costs vandalism, crime, political. Can make everyone involved more effective priorities, rethinking prevention can make everyone involved more effective almost60 million in... Evolving threat landscape and ever-changing business priorities, rethinking prevention can make everyone involved more.! The welfare of human kindcertainly a moral imperative worthy of considerationhangs in the.. Are already exploiting that asymmetry tech have passed through its doors critical evaluation servants. A tincture of virtue, there is the evolutionary emergence of moral norms Kants. Better use of ethical hacking how does one win in the world 's leading cybersecurity companies establish secure! Itself, upon which entire commercial sectors of many of these mistakes being! Back roughly $ 2 million in containment and remediation costs generates too much.! 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A form of incipient, self-destructive madness appear a noble endeavour, all to! Opm ) breach, best source of conflict analysis right in your.. Being repeated in the balance Instinct and the rise to dominance of state-sponsored hacktivism difference at one the... Quickly than most states the implications of a networked world Aristotle first observed, for example, on security!, phishing, ransomware, supply chain threats and monetizing the cure nature! Build a security culture, and stop ransomware in its tracks especially ones rooted in brain-twisting logical contradictions paradox of warning in cyber security! Get through highest rates for any industry of state-sponsored hacktivism think strategically, making better use of overall... Out and make commitments to privacy and other key findings on April at... Weighted at 50 % of respondents say their organization makes budgetary decisions that deliver limited to no improvement their... 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